Prof. Jim Hansen
Forecasting is the ultimate form of model validation. But even if a perfect model is in hand, imperfect forecasts are likely. This course will cover the factors that limit our ability to produce good forecasts, will show how the quality of forecasts can be gauged a priori (predicting our ability to predict!), and will cover the state of the art in operational atmosphere and ocean forecasting systems.
Hansen, Jim. 12.990 Prediction and Predictability in the Atmosphere and Oceans, Spring 2003. (MIT OpenCourseWare: Massachusetts Institute of Technology), http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/earth-atmospheric-and-planetary-sciences/12-990-prediction-and-predictability-in-the-atmosphere-and-oceans-spring-2003 (Accessed). License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA