SES # | TOPICS | READINGS | ||
---|---|---|---|---|

Week 1: Introduction | ||||

1 | Course overview; epistemological foundations; math review | |||

2 | What's in a number?; basic numeracy; measurement | [Meier], chapters 1 and 2. [Horwitz], chapter 2. Hofstadter, D. "On Number Numbness." Chapter 6 in Hodge, G. "Use and Mis-use of Measurement Scales in City Planning." Zeisel, H. Diamond, J. "How Cats Survive Falls from New York Skyscrapers." "On Landing Like a Cat: It Is a Fact." | ||

Week 2: Planning numbers; descriptive statistics | ||||

3 | The use of numbers in planning | [Horwitz], chapter 4. Innis, J. "Sagas of Three Indicators." Chapter 6 in Savas, E. S. "The political Properties of Crystalline H2O: Planning for Snow Emergencies in New York." | ||

4 | Variables; samples and populations; measures of central tendency | [Horwitz], chapter 6. [Meier], chapters 4 and 5. Abrahamse, A. F. "Counting the Homeless: Sampling Difficult Populations." Chapter 3 in Chan, Sewell. "Remembering a Snowstorm That Paralyzed the City." | ||

Week 3: Talking about distributions | ||||

5 | Measures of variability | [Horwitz], chapters 5 and 7. [Meier], chapter 6. | ||

Week 4: Asking and answering questions with data | ||||

6 | Exploratory data analysis and visualization | [Hartwig], pages 5-31. Start reading [Tufte] Lewis, Michael. "The No-Stats All-Star." | ||

7 | Logic, experiment, and the scientific method | [Horwitz], chapter 1. [Meier], chapter 3. Popper, K. | ||

Week 5: Probability and the normal curve | ||||

8 | Basic probability | [Meier], chapters 7 and 8. Robinson, W. "Ecological Correlations and the Behavior of Individuals." | ||

9 | The normal curve; sampling | [Horwitz], chapters 8 and 9. [Meier], chapter 9. | ||

Week 6: Inferential statistics | ||||

10 | Estimates and confidence intervals | [Meier], chapters 11, 12 (skim), and 13. [Horwitz], chapters 10 and 12. | ||

11 | The idea of a statistical test; non-parametric tests | [Meier], chapters 12 and 14. [Horwitz], chapter 11. Zernike, Kate. "Do Polls Lie About Race?" | ||

Week 7: Computers and data | ||||

12 | Midterm exam | |||

13 | Statistical software; data management | Zeisel, H. Say It With Figures. 6th ed. Harper & Row, 6th edition, 1985, chapter 4. ISBN: 9780061819827. | ||

Week 8: Introduction to bivariate/multivariate data | ||||

14 | Cross-tabulations; χ^{2} tests | Start reading [Davis] [Meier], chapters 15-16. [Horwitz], pages 228-331 (review). Fairley, W. "Accidents on Route 2: Two Way Structures for Data." In | ||

15 | Scatterplots; correlation; cause and effect; confounding variables | [Meier], chapters 17-18. [Horwitz], chapters 13-14. [Hartwig], pages 31-79. | ||

Week 9: Simple regression | ||||

16 | Simple regression | Review readings from Session 14. [Berry], chapter 1. | ||

17 | The assumptions of regression analysis | [Meier], chapter 19. Chatterjee, S., M. S. Handcock, and J. S. Simonoff. "PCB Contamination of U.S. Bays and Estuaries." In [Berry], Chapter 2. | ||

Week 10: Multivariate regression | ||||

18 | Multivariate regression | [Berry], chapters 3-5. [Meier], chapters 21 and 23. [Rabe-Hesketh], chapter 3. | ||

19 | Review/slack; presentation and graphs | [Horwitz], chapter 3. [Tufte], chapter 2. | ||

Week 11: Particulars of planning data and questions | ||||

20 | The census | Jencks, C. "The Politics of Income Measurement." Chapter 2 in Myers, D. MacDonald, H. "The American Community Survey: Warmer (More Current), but Fuzzier (Less Precise) than the Decennial Census." Monmonier, M. S. Portney, K. E. "Taking Sustainable Cities Seriously. A Comparative Analysis of Twenty-four US Cities." Yang, Y. "A Tale of Two Cities: Physical Form and Neighborhood Satisfaction in Metropolitan Portland and Charlotte." Baade, R. A., and R. F. Dye. "The Impact of Stadiums and Professional Sports on Metropolitan Area Development." | ||

Week 12: Dealing with dollars; making decisions | ||||

21 | Talking about money | Mohring, H. "Land Values and the Measurement of Highway Benefits." Muro, M. and R. Puentes. "Investing in a Better Future: A Review of the Fiscal and Competitive Advantages of Smarter Growth Development Patterns." Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy, Brookings Institution, 2004. (PDF) | ||

22 | Decision trees, expected utility, cost-benefit analysis | [Meier], chapters 25-26. Dawes, R. M. Blogging the Stimulus, a blog by Steve Coll of | ||

Week 13: Review; slack; additional critical thinking | ||||

23 | Predictions and uncertainty; representing risk | Clery, D., and A. Cho. "Large Hadron Collider: Is the LHC a Doomsday Machine?" Moore, T. "The Use of Forecasts in Creating and Adopting Visions for Regional Growth." Chapter 2 in Reamer, A. "In Dire Straits: The Urgent Need to Improve Economic Statistics." | ||

24 | Return to research design; review | [Meier], chapter 3 (review). |