1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:00,040 2 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,460 The following content is provided under a Creative 3 00:00:02,460 --> 00:00:03,870 Commons license. 4 00:00:03,870 --> 00:00:06,910 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare continue to 5 00:00:06,910 --> 00:00:10,560 offer high quality educational resources for free. 6 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:13,460 To make a donation or view additional materials from 7 00:00:13,460 --> 00:00:17,390 hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare at 8 00:00:17,390 --> 00:00:18,640 ocw.mit.edu. 9 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:22,170 10 00:00:22,170 --> 00:00:24,990 PROFESSOR: Hi, and welcome back to the 14.01 problem 11 00:00:24,990 --> 00:00:25,990 solving videos. 12 00:00:25,990 --> 00:00:29,620 Today, we're going to work on Fall 2010, problem set one, 13 00:00:29,620 --> 00:00:31,250 problem number four. 14 00:00:31,250 --> 00:00:33,070 And in this problem, we're going to be working with 15 00:00:33,070 --> 00:00:34,370 elasticities. 16 00:00:34,370 --> 00:00:36,580 But instead of starting with a demand function, and starting 17 00:00:36,580 --> 00:00:39,960 with a supply function, and calculating the elasticity 18 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,180 given those functions, we're going to be given the 19 00:00:42,180 --> 00:00:44,970 elasticity of demand and the elasticity of supply. 20 00:00:44,970 --> 00:00:46,720 And we're going to have to back out what the demand 21 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:48,950 functions and the supply functions 22 00:00:48,950 --> 00:00:49,740 should have looked like. 23 00:00:49,740 --> 00:00:51,840 So we're basically just working in reverse from what 24 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:53,570 we did in lecture. 25 00:00:53,570 --> 00:00:55,850 Let's go ahead and read the full problem up through part 26 00:00:55,850 --> 00:01:00,040 A. You have been asked to analyze the market for steel. 27 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,490 From public sources, you are able to find that last year's 28 00:01:02,490 --> 00:01:05,120 price for steel was $20 per ton. 29 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,410 At this price, 100 million tons were sold 30 00:01:07,410 --> 00:01:08,750 on the world market. 31 00:01:08,750 --> 00:01:11,620 From trade association data, you are able to obtain 32 00:01:11,620 --> 00:01:15,030 estimates for their own price elasticities of demand and 33 00:01:15,030 --> 00:01:19,610 supply on the world markets as negative 0.25 for demand and 34 00:01:19,610 --> 00:01:21,610 0.5 for supply. 35 00:01:21,610 --> 00:01:24,800 Assume the steel has linear demand and supply curves 36 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:25,960 throughout. 37 00:01:25,960 --> 00:01:29,010 Part A asks us to solve for the equations of demand and 38 00:01:29,010 --> 00:01:31,500 supply in this market, and to sketch the 39 00:01:31,500 --> 00:01:34,010 demand and supply curves. 40 00:01:34,010 --> 00:01:37,660 So looking at the formal definition of elasticity of 41 00:01:37,660 --> 00:01:41,170 demand and elasticity of supply, we basically are going 42 00:01:41,170 --> 00:01:43,500 to have three different parts to it. 43 00:01:43,500 --> 00:01:46,360 We have the derivative of either demand or supply 44 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,180 function with respect to P, in this case the own price of P, 45 00:01:50,180 --> 00:01:52,300 or the price of steel. 46 00:01:52,300 --> 00:01:54,830 And we also have the equilibrium price, or any 47 00:01:54,830 --> 00:01:57,270 price at the point on the curve, and a quantity. 48 00:01:57,270 --> 00:02:00,420 In this case, it's going to be the equilibrium quantity. 49 00:02:00,420 --> 00:02:04,250 So basically, what we have now is we are given-- 50 00:02:04,250 --> 00:02:07,080 for the elasticity of demand, we're given three variables. 51 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,810 We're given the price, the quantity, and the 52 00:02:09,810 --> 00:02:11,390 elasticity of demand. 53 00:02:11,390 --> 00:02:15,120 And that means the only thing that we don't know is the 54 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:19,260 derivative of the demand curve with respect to P. 55 00:02:19,260 --> 00:02:22,380 So if we can isolate this derivative, then we can 56 00:02:22,380 --> 00:02:25,030 integrate the number that we're able to 57 00:02:25,030 --> 00:02:26,280 solve through for. 58 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,600 And then we can solve out for what our demand curve is going 59 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:29,510 to look like. 60 00:02:29,510 --> 00:02:32,230 So let's go ahead and walk through that process together. 61 00:02:32,230 --> 00:02:49,510 Substituting in for the elasticity of demand P and Q, 62 00:02:49,510 --> 00:02:51,050 we're gonna have this equation. 63 00:02:51,050 --> 00:02:53,830 And the one thing that I want you to notice is since the 64 00:02:53,830 --> 00:02:58,280 derivative of the demand curve with respect to P is negative 65 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,670 0.25, in this case, we know that it's linear. 66 00:03:01,670 --> 00:03:04,400 But just because it's linear at the point where price is 20 67 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,620 and quantity is 100, that doesn't necessarily mean it's 68 00:03:07,620 --> 00:03:08,880 gonna be linear throughout. 69 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,780 So it's useful to know that at any point on this line, it's 70 00:03:12,780 --> 00:03:15,240 always going to have the derivative 71 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:16,720 equal to negative 0.25. 72 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:17,390 So that's useful. 73 00:03:17,390 --> 00:03:21,170 We know we can integrate and have the correct answer. 74 00:03:21,170 --> 00:03:35,450 Solving for dQD dP, we're gonna have negative 1.25. 75 00:03:35,450 --> 00:03:37,845 And we're just going to integrate this with respect to 76 00:03:37,845 --> 00:03:41,340 P. And after we integrate, we're going to 77 00:03:41,340 --> 00:03:42,590 be left with a constant. 78 00:03:42,590 --> 00:03:54,190 79 00:03:54,190 --> 00:03:57,980 In this case, we're going to call the constant a. 80 00:03:57,980 --> 00:04:00,630 This is how much the demand curve has actually shifted up 81 00:04:00,630 --> 00:04:03,220 to begin with, shifted up or down. 82 00:04:03,220 --> 00:04:06,200 And to solve for a, all we have to do is we can just plug 83 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:10,410 back in for the $20 and the 100 quantity, and we can solve 84 00:04:10,410 --> 00:04:12,970 through for what a is going to be equal. 85 00:04:12,970 --> 00:04:16,329 When you solve through plugging in Q and P, you're 86 00:04:16,329 --> 00:04:32,610 going to find that a is equal to 125. 87 00:04:32,610 --> 00:04:35,260 So we're gonna have that our final demand function is gonna 88 00:04:35,260 --> 00:04:40,500 be negative 1.25P plus 125. 89 00:04:40,500 --> 00:04:44,280 Now we can go through this exact same process with the 90 00:04:44,280 --> 00:04:47,340 elasticity of supply now. 91 00:04:47,340 --> 00:04:51,000 And all we have to do now is use the number 0.5 instead, 92 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:52,130 and we can solve through. 93 00:04:52,130 --> 00:04:53,270 We can integrate. 94 00:04:53,270 --> 00:04:55,630 And then we're going to solve for the other constant to, 95 00:04:55,630 --> 00:04:58,400 again, get our supply curve. 96 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:10,460 Substituting in the information we have, we're 97 00:05:10,460 --> 00:05:11,770 going to be left with this equation. 98 00:05:11,770 --> 00:05:15,300 And we're gonna go ahead and isolate the derivative that we 99 00:05:15,300 --> 00:05:29,510 have. And when we integrate again, we have to remember 100 00:05:29,510 --> 00:05:31,440 that we are going to have a constant that we're gonna have 101 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:32,690 to solve for. 102 00:05:32,690 --> 00:05:40,850 103 00:05:40,850 --> 00:05:43,270 And I'm gonna just call this constant c. 104 00:05:43,270 --> 00:05:46,990 Again, plug in the price of 20 and the quantity equal to 100 105 00:05:46,990 --> 00:06:02,300 and you're gonna find that the supply curve is gonna be equal 106 00:06:02,300 --> 00:06:05,880 to 2.5P plus 50. 107 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:09,350 And we can do a quick sketch of this on our axes here. 108 00:06:09,350 --> 00:06:11,640 We're just gonna go ahead and draw our upward-sloping supply 109 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:19,050 curve, our downward-sloping demand curve. 110 00:06:19,050 --> 00:06:24,505 And we're gonna mark the equilibrium point and label 111 00:06:24,505 --> 00:06:26,280 the equilibrium quantities and the 112 00:06:26,280 --> 00:06:27,620 equilibrium prices, as well. 113 00:06:27,620 --> 00:06:33,540 114 00:06:33,540 --> 00:06:35,720 And before we move on to the second part of this problem, 115 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:36,510 we can pause here. 116 00:06:36,510 --> 00:06:38,730 And we can think about what did the elasticities that we 117 00:06:38,730 --> 00:06:40,590 started with actually mean. 118 00:06:40,590 --> 00:06:43,340 Well, if we were to look at this point of intersection at 119 00:06:43,340 --> 00:06:47,250 the equilibrium of the demand curve, we're looking at the 120 00:06:47,250 --> 00:06:51,830 percentage change at this point in quantity per 121 00:06:51,830 --> 00:06:53,960 percentage change in price. 122 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:59,850 So we're basically just saying, for that tiny change, 123 00:06:59,850 --> 00:07:02,720 an infinitesimally small change at this point for the 124 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:05,970 demand curve, how much does quantity change, 125 00:07:05,970 --> 00:07:08,380 percentage-wise, relative to price? 126 00:07:08,380 --> 00:07:10,950 And that's also what we're looking at 127 00:07:10,950 --> 00:07:12,000 with the supply curve. 128 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,500 So when you're given a elasticity, if you have an 129 00:07:14,500 --> 00:07:16,830 elasticity of supply, it makes sense that it's gonna be 130 00:07:16,830 --> 00:07:21,950 positive, in this case 0.5, because when price increases, 131 00:07:21,950 --> 00:07:24,080 suppliers are willing to supply more. 132 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,620 And it makes sense that the demand elasticity that we're 133 00:07:26,620 --> 00:07:31,050 given is negative, or negative 0.25, because when price 134 00:07:31,050 --> 00:07:34,460 begins to increase, the consumers are gonna want less 135 00:07:34,460 --> 00:07:37,410 of the product. 136 00:07:37,410 --> 00:07:39,550 Now, the second part of this problem is going to give us 137 00:07:39,550 --> 00:07:41,820 new elasticities of demand and supply. 138 00:07:41,820 --> 00:07:44,270 And I'm gonna just quickly run through the actual 139 00:07:44,270 --> 00:07:46,180 calculation, because it's gonna be the same as our 140 00:07:46,180 --> 00:07:47,960 calculation that we just did. 141 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:52,250 And instead, we're gonna think about possible causes for the 142 00:07:52,250 --> 00:07:56,220 shifts that we see in the supply and the demand curve. 143 00:07:56,220 --> 00:07:59,010 Part B says, suppose that you discover that the current 144 00:07:59,010 --> 00:08:02,810 price of steel is $15 per ton and the current level of 145 00:08:02,810 --> 00:08:07,130 worldwide sales of steel is 150 million tons. 146 00:08:07,130 --> 00:08:10,400 The most recent elasticity estimates from the trade 147 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:14,730 association this year are negative 0.125 for demand and 148 00:08:14,730 --> 00:08:16,820 0.25 for supply. 149 00:08:16,820 --> 00:08:19,140 Describe the change in the supply and the demand curves 150 00:08:19,140 --> 00:08:22,950 over the past year using your diagram from part A. What sort 151 00:08:22,950 --> 00:08:26,410 of events might explain the change? 152 00:08:26,410 --> 00:08:28,710 Now, I've given us the information for this part of 153 00:08:28,710 --> 00:08:31,260 the problem on this board. 154 00:08:31,260 --> 00:08:33,950 And you'll notice that our inputs, or our variables, have 155 00:08:33,950 --> 00:08:34,570 changed now. 156 00:08:34,570 --> 00:08:37,380 The price has dropped from $20. 157 00:08:37,380 --> 00:08:39,600 Now it's gonna be down to $15. 158 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,419 You're gonna notice that the quantity has actually 159 00:08:42,419 --> 00:08:45,720 increased from 100 up to 150. 160 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,080 And our elasticities of demand and elasticities of supply 161 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:51,250 have changed, because the price and the quantity are 162 00:08:51,250 --> 00:08:55,210 different, and we're at a different point on our graph. 163 00:08:55,210 --> 00:08:58,120 The process we're gonna do to solve for our demand curves 164 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,340 and our supply curves are going to be exactly identical. 165 00:09:01,340 --> 00:09:03,100 And when you follow the same process-- 166 00:09:03,100 --> 00:09:05,020 I'll just do the first step up here-- 167 00:09:05,020 --> 00:09:08,020 you're gonna substitute in for the information that's given 168 00:09:08,020 --> 00:09:09,270 in the problem. 169 00:09:09,270 --> 00:09:45,330 170 00:09:45,330 --> 00:09:47,230 And all you're going to do is you're, again, gonna solve 171 00:09:47,230 --> 00:09:48,170 through for the derivative. 172 00:09:48,170 --> 00:09:49,050 You're gonna integrate. 173 00:09:49,050 --> 00:09:50,960 And you're gonna find the constants. 174 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:55,970 After you do that entire process, you're gonna find 175 00:09:55,970 --> 00:10:00,420 that the demand curve is given by this equation. 176 00:10:00,420 --> 00:10:05,410 177 00:10:05,410 --> 00:10:07,590 And you're gonna find that the supply curve is given by this 178 00:10:07,590 --> 00:10:08,840 new equation. 179 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:24,100 180 00:10:24,100 --> 00:10:27,960 Now, if we look at this new demand curve and this new 181 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:32,510 supply curve, we'll actually notice that the slope, with 182 00:10:32,510 --> 00:10:35,910 respect to P, is going to be identical in both of the cases 183 00:10:35,910 --> 00:10:39,160 that we solved for, both the beginning case and the case in 184 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:40,860 the end of the problem. 185 00:10:40,860 --> 00:10:43,370 The only thing that's shifted between our quantities 186 00:10:43,370 --> 00:10:46,990 demanded and our quantities supplied, or the curves, is 187 00:10:46,990 --> 00:10:48,240 there's been a shift. 188 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:51,610 And the shift for the demand curve-- 189 00:10:51,610 --> 00:10:54,430 it went from an intercept of 125 now to an 190 00:10:54,430 --> 00:10:57,270 intercept of 168.75. 191 00:10:57,270 --> 00:11:02,200 So our demand curve is shifting up and out. 192 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:08,330 So we can represent this shift in demand like this. 193 00:11:08,330 --> 00:11:11,040 Notice that the slope is going to be exactly identical. 194 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:14,650 I'm going to write a small db for part B. 195 00:11:14,650 --> 00:11:16,900 And then we can do the same sort of interpretation for our 196 00:11:16,900 --> 00:11:18,150 supply curve. 197 00:11:18,150 --> 00:11:22,420 Looking at our supply curve, the intercepts, now, is 112.5. 198 00:11:22,420 --> 00:11:26,070 But before, it was only at 50. 199 00:11:26,070 --> 00:11:29,160 And what this means, this means that the supply curve is 200 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,320 going to shift in and down. 201 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:40,150 202 00:11:40,150 --> 00:11:43,090 And so my graph with the equilibrium price that I've 203 00:11:43,090 --> 00:11:45,095 drawn-- it's a little bit off, but what you should see-- 204 00:11:45,095 --> 00:11:49,290 205 00:11:49,290 --> 00:11:54,960 you should see that the new equilibrium price has fallen. 206 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,790 In this case, it's fallen to 15. 207 00:11:58,790 --> 00:12:04,090 And the equilibrium quantity has increased from 100 to 150. 208 00:12:04,090 --> 00:12:07,090 So since we had both a shift in supply and a shift in 209 00:12:07,090 --> 00:12:09,850 demand, necessarily we see that 210 00:12:09,850 --> 00:12:12,060 quantity is going to increase. 211 00:12:12,060 --> 00:12:18,620 But if the demand curve had shifted way up here, we could 212 00:12:18,620 --> 00:12:20,300 see that price could have increased. 213 00:12:20,300 --> 00:12:23,370 So the effect on the price in this market is ambiguous. 214 00:12:23,370 --> 00:12:26,400 We can say that, necessarily, the effect on quantity is 215 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,170 going to be clearly towards an increase. 216 00:12:29,170 --> 00:12:31,940 So to wrap up this problem, we saw that changes in 217 00:12:31,940 --> 00:12:35,720 elasticities can also represent changes in the 218 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:38,070 underlying demand and supply functions. 219 00:12:38,070 --> 00:12:41,230 Let's wrap up by just thinking about what could have caused 220 00:12:41,230 --> 00:12:43,040 the demand shift that we've seen. 221 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:47,210 And what could have caused the supply shift that we saw? 222 00:12:47,210 --> 00:12:49,480 Now, there are a couple of ideas that we 223 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:50,730 can have for demand. 224 00:12:50,730 --> 00:12:53,750 225 00:12:53,750 --> 00:12:55,950 The first idea that we could have is we could just have had 226 00:12:55,950 --> 00:12:58,750 an increase in the income of a consumer. 227 00:12:58,750 --> 00:13:01,710 If a consumer has more income, then they might be willing to 228 00:13:01,710 --> 00:13:03,940 spend more on steel. 229 00:13:03,940 --> 00:13:07,370 A second idea that we have, we could have that the price of a 230 00:13:07,370 --> 00:13:08,010 substitute-- 231 00:13:08,010 --> 00:13:10,160 perhaps you're considering building a bridge out of iron 232 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:11,450 instead of steel-- 233 00:13:11,450 --> 00:13:15,060 if the price of the substitute has increased, then perhaps 234 00:13:15,060 --> 00:13:17,850 the consumers are going to be willing to pay more to get the 235 00:13:17,850 --> 00:13:21,460 steel since the iron is more expensive. 236 00:13:21,460 --> 00:13:24,250 A third possible idea is that the number of goods that you 237 00:13:24,250 --> 00:13:27,690 need to make from steel is increasing. 238 00:13:27,690 --> 00:13:32,050 So if you suddenly find new uses for steel, then the price 239 00:13:32,050 --> 00:13:34,660 that you're willing to pay at any given point 240 00:13:34,660 --> 00:13:37,640 is going to be higher. 241 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,250 Basically, to affect the demand curve, you have to 242 00:13:40,250 --> 00:13:43,170 think about why would people be more willing to pay more 243 00:13:43,170 --> 00:13:44,280 for a fixed quantity. 244 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,340 And I just listed off a couple of ideas there. 245 00:13:47,340 --> 00:13:51,930 We can also think about reasons about why the supply 246 00:13:51,930 --> 00:13:56,850 curve could be shifting in. 247 00:13:56,850 --> 00:13:58,620 In this case, why is it-- 248 00:13:58,620 --> 00:14:02,220 why are sellers willing to offer a cheaper price at any 249 00:14:02,220 --> 00:14:03,730 fixed quantity? 250 00:14:03,730 --> 00:14:05,720 And one idea that we could have for this is just that 251 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,100 there are more firms in this market. 252 00:14:08,100 --> 00:14:11,440 If this market isn't perfectly competitive to start off with, 253 00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:13,710 then increasing the number of firms is gonna increase 254 00:14:13,710 --> 00:14:15,820 competition, and the producers are gonna have 255 00:14:15,820 --> 00:14:17,790 to drop their prices. 256 00:14:17,790 --> 00:14:21,660 A second idea for why we've seen the supply curve shift 257 00:14:21,660 --> 00:14:25,870 out and down could be the fact that input price 258 00:14:25,870 --> 00:14:27,340 for steel has dropped. 259 00:14:27,340 --> 00:14:29,290 Perhaps the way of manufacturing or getting the 260 00:14:29,290 --> 00:14:31,900 raw material is cheaper because the machine they're 261 00:14:31,900 --> 00:14:34,350 using to get the steel is cheaper. 262 00:14:34,350 --> 00:14:36,090 Basically, when you're thinking about the shift 263 00:14:36,090 --> 00:14:39,540 that's making it cheaper for suppliers to produce the good, 264 00:14:39,540 --> 00:14:41,990 all you need to think about is what could make it so that 265 00:14:41,990 --> 00:14:45,090 they're more willing to produce at a lower price. 266 00:14:45,090 --> 00:14:47,960 So again, with this problem, we went through working with 267 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,350 elasticities and demands. 268 00:14:49,350 --> 00:14:53,000 We've seen that we can go from a demand curve or supply curve 269 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,650 to elasticities, or we can go from elasticities to demands. 270 00:14:56,650 --> 00:14:59,880 And then, once we've had the supply and the demand curves, 271 00:14:59,880 --> 00:15:01,510 we looked at how do we interpret 272 00:15:01,510 --> 00:15:02,750 the shifts and shocks? 273 00:15:02,750 --> 00:15:04,760 And we looked at possible explanations for those shift 274 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:05,910 and shocks. 275 00:15:05,910 --> 00:15:07,160 I hope you found this problem helpful. 276 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:14,858