WEBVTT

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Let us comment on the
results of the study.

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Robert Parker predicted that the
1986 Bordeaux wine is very good

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to sometimes exceptional.

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On the other hand,
Ashenfelter said

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that the 1986 Bordeaux
wine is mediocre.

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And made the prediction
that the 1989 Bordeaux would

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be the wine of the century
and the 1990 Bordeaux

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would be even better.

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In wine options, the
1989 Bordeaux wine

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sold for more than
twice the price of 1986.

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And the 1990 Bordeaux wine
sold for even higher prices.

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Later, Ashenfelter predicted
that the 2000 and the 2003

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Bordeaux wines would be great.

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And in this case,
Robert Parker stated

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the 2000 is the greatest vintage
Bordeaux has ever produced,

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in agreement with Ashenfelter.

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So what is the analytics
edge in this case?

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What we have developed is
a linear regression model,

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a simple but rather
powerful model

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for predicting quality of wines.

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It only used few
variables and we

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have seen that it predicted
wine prices quite well.

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In fact, in many
cases it outperformed

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wine expert's opinions.

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And what is impressive, in
this first introductory lecture

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to linear regression, is that
an analytics approach that

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uses data to build a model
that improves decision making

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is effective in a traditionally
qualitative problem.