Regional Socioeconomic Impact Analyses and Modeling

Readings

SES #	TOPICS	READINGS	SUGGESTED READINGS
1	Introduction and overview of a theoretical basis for regional economic analyses	Miller, Ronald E. “Regional and Interregional Input-Output Analysis.” In Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis. Aldershot, England: Ashgate, 1998, pp. 41-124. Mills, Edwin S. “What Makes Metropolitan Areas Grow?” In Urban Change in the United States and Western Europe. Edited by Anita Summers, Paul C. Cheshire, and Lanfranco Senn. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute Press, 1993, pp. 193-216. ISBN: 9780877665922. Dawkins, Casey J. “Regional Development Theory: Conceptual Foundations, Classic Works, and Recent Developments.” Journal of Planning Literature 18, no. 2 (2003): 131-172.	Miller, Ronald E. and Peter D. Blair. “Input-Output Models at the Regional Level.” In Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1984, pp. 45-99. ISBN: 9780134667157. (Appendices are optional) Oosterhaven, Jan, and J. Paul Elhorst. “Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis (Book Review).” Economic Systems Research 14, no. 2 (2002): 205-207.
2	Background on regional modeling and modeling assumptions/economic base studies	Fingleton, Bernard, Danilo Camargo Igliori, and Barry Moore. “Employment Growth of Small High-technology Firms and the Role of Horizontal Clustering: Evidence from Computing Services and R&D in Great Britain, 1991-2000.” Urban Studies 41, no. 4 (2004): 773-799. Smirnov, Oleg, and Alena Smirnova. “An Assessment of the Economic Base of Distressed and Near-Distressed Counties in Appalachia: Report to the Appalachian Regional Commission (PDF - 1.3MB).” Bruton Center for Development Studies, The University of Texas at Dallas, 2000. Andersson, Ake, and David F. Batten. “Creative Nodes, Logistical Networks, and the Future of the Metropolis.” Transportation 14, no. 4 (1987): 281-293. Miller, Ronald E. “Regional and Interregional Input-Output Analysis.” In Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis. Aldershot, England: Ashgate, 1998, pp. 149-199. (Appendices are optional) Scott, Allen J. “A Perspective of Economic Geography.” Journal of Economic Geography 4, no. 5 (2004): 479-499. Midmore, Peter, Max Munday, and Annette Roberts. “Assessing Industry Linkages Using Regional Input–Output Tables.” Regional Studies 40, no. 3 (2006): 329-343. Howells, Jeremy R. L. “Tacit Knowledge, Innovation and Economic Geography.” Urban Studies 39, nos. 5-6 (2002): 871-884.	Krugman, Paul. Development, Geography, and Economic Theory. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1995. ISBN: 9780262112031. Read “Geography Lost and Found,” pp. 31-65 and “Appendix,” pp. 89-108. ———. “Center and Periphery.” Chapter 1 in Geography and Trade. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1992. ISBN: 9780262610865. Henderson, J. Vernon, Zmarak Shalizi, and Anthony J. Venables. “Geography and Development.” Journal of Economic Geography 1 (2001): 81-106.
3	Background on input-output equations and data preparation for the REMI model	Treyz, Frederick, and George Treyz. “The Evaluation of Programs Aimed at Local and Regional Development: Methodology and Twenty Years’ Experience Using Policy Insight.” In Evaluating Local Economic and Employment Development: How to Assess What Works Among Programmes and Policies. Paris, France: OECD Publishing, 2004. ISBN: 9789264017085. Lahr, Michael L., and Benjamin H. Stevens. “A Study of the Role of Regionalization in the Generation of Aggregation Error in Regional Input-output Models.” Journal of Regional Science 42, no. 3 (2002): 477-507. Polenske, Karen R. “Leontief’s Spatial Economic Analyses.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 6, no. 3 (1995): 309-318. Treyz, George I. Regional Economic Modeling: A Systematic Approach to Economic Forecasting and Policy Analysis. New York, NY: Springer, 1993. ISBN: 9780792393825. Read chapters 6 and 7, pp. 263-290 and 291-330. Miller, Ronald E. and Peter D. Blair. “Multipliers in the Input-Output Model.” In Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1984, pp. 100-148. ISBN: 9780134667157. (Appendices are optional)	Polenske, Karen R., and Petros Sivitanides. “Linkages in the Construction Sector.” The Annals of Regional Science 24, no. 2 (1990): 147-161. Stevens, Benjamin H., George I. Treyz, and Michael L. Lahr. “On the Comparative Accuracy of RPC Estimating Techniques.” In Frontiers of Input-Output Analysis. Edited by Ronald E. Miller, Karen R. Polenske, and Adam Z. Rose. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1989, pp. 245-257. ISBN: 9780195057584.
4	Alternative types of regional input-output models and multipliers Guest speaker: Glen Weisbrod, President, Economic Development Research Group	Dietzenbacher, Erik. “Interregional Multipliers: Looking Backward, Looking Forward.” Regional Studies 36, no. 2 (2002): 125-136. Stevens, Benjamin, and Michael Lahr. “Regional Economic Multipliers: Definition, Measurement, and Application.” Economic Development Quarterly 2, no. 1 (1988): 88-96. Weisbrod, Glen E., and James Beckwith. “Measuring Economic Development Benefits for Highway Decision-making: The Wisconsin Case.” Transportation Quarterly 46, no. 1 (1992): 57-79. (PDF) Weisbrod, Glen. “Evolution of Methods for Assessing Economic Development Impacts of Proposed Transportation Projects.” Paper presented at the 3rd International Conference on Transportation and Economic Development, PLACE, March 2006. (PDF) Isserman, Andrew, and Terance Rephann. “The Economic Effects of the Appalachian Regional Commission: An Empirical Assessment of 26 Years of Regional Development Planning.” Journal of the American Planning Association 61, no. 3 (1995): 345-364. Wilbur Smith Associates. “Appalachian Development Highways Economic Impact Studies.” Report prepared for Appalachian Regional Commission, 1998. Executive summary.	Polenske, Karen R. “Current Uses of the RAS Technique: A Critical Review.” In Price, Growth, and Cycles. Edited by Andras Brody, Andras Simonovits and Albert Steenge. London, England: Palgrave Macmillan, 1997, pp. 58-88. ISBN: 9780333641651. Weisbrod, Glen, and Burton Weisbrod. “Measuring Economic Impacts of Projects and Programs.” Economic Development Research Group, Boston, MA, 1997. (PDF) Jensen, R. C., and G. R. West. “The Effect of Relative Coefficient Size on Input-Output Multipliers.” Environment and Planning A 12, no. 8 (1980): 927-936.
5	Regional economic analyses and forecasting	Treyz, George I. Regional Economic Modeling: A Systematic Approach to Economic Forecasting and Policy Analysis. New York, NY: Springer, 1993. ISBN: 9780792393825. Read chapter 2, pp. 7-71. Porter, Michael E. “Clusters and Competition: New Agendas for Companies, Governments, and Institutions.” Working Paper 98-080. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business School, March 25, 1998. Oosterhaven, Jan, and Karen R. Polenske. “Modern Regional Input-Output and Impact Analyses.” Chapter 21 in Handbook of Regional Growth and Development Theories. Edited by Roberta Capello and Peter Nijkamp. London, England: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2009. ISBN: 9781847205063.
6	Regional econometric modeling, part I Outside of class time this week: Meet with Greg Perkins, Research Manager, at Boston Redevelopment Authority.	Rupasingha, Anil, S. J. Goetz, D. L. Debertin, and A. Pagoulatos. “The Environmental Kuznets Curve for US Countries: A Spatial Econometric Analysis with Extentions.” Papers in Regional Science 83, no. 2 (2004): 407-424. Mohnen, Pierre. “Productivity Trends and Employment Across Industries in Canada.” In Structural Economics. Edited by Thijs Ten Raa. London, UK: Routledge, 2004, pp. 265-276. ISBN: 9780415331746. Wallsten, Scott J. “An Empirical Test of Geographic Knowledge Spillovers Using Geographic Information Systems and Firm-level Data.” Regional Science and Urban Economics 31, no. 5 (2001): 571-599. Anselin, Luc, Ibnu Syabri, and Youngihn Kho. “GeoDa: An Introduction to Spatial Data Analysis.” Working paper, Spatial Analysis Laboratory, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, 2004. (PDF)	Carbonara, Nunzia, Ilaria Giannoccaro, and Pierpaolo Pontrandolfo. “Supply Chains Within Industrial Districts: A Theoretical Framework.” International Journal of Production Economics 76, no. 2 (2002): 159-176. Sivitanidou, Rena, and Karen R. Polenske. “Assessing Regional Economic Impacts with Microcomputers.” In A Planner’s Review of PC Software and Technology. Edited by Richard E. Klosterman. Chicago, IL: American Planning Association, 1988, pp. 83-90. ISBN: 9789992627662.
7	Regional econometric modeling, part II	Pereira, Alvaro E. “Economic Development of the Boston Harbor: Informing the Process.” The Boston Conference Harbor Town Meeting, May 11, 1998. Porter, Michael E. “Competitive Advantage, Agglomeration Economies, and Regional Policy.” International Regional Science Review 19, nos. 1-2 (1996): 85-94. Read comments by Ann Markusen and Porter’s response. Treyz, George I. Regional Economic Modeling: A Systematic Approach to Economic Forecasting and Policy Analysis. New York, NY: Springer, 1993. ISBN: 9780792393825. Read chapters 6, 7, and 8, pp. 263-288, 291-327, and 331-401.
8	Model comparisons	Bourque, Philip J. “Regional Multipliers: WAIO vs. RIMS.” International Regional Science Review 13, nos. 1-2 (1990): 87-98. Connaughton, John E., and Ronald Madsen. “Assessment of Economic Impact Studies: The Cases of BMW and Mercedes-Benz.” The Review of Regional Studies 31, no. 3 (2001): 293-304. Jackson, Randall W., and Jonathan C. Comer. “An Alternative to Aggregated Base Tables in Input-Output Table Regionalization.” Growth and Change 24 (1993): 191-205. Rickman, D. S., and R. K. Schwer. “A Comparison of the Multipliers of IMPLAN, REMI, and RIMS II: Benchmarking Ready-Made Models for Comparison.” The Annals of Regional Science 29, no. 4 (1995): 363-374.
9	Massachusetts economy, case study	Glaeser, Edward L. “Reinventing Boston: 1630-2003.” Journal of Economic Geography 5, no. 2 (2005): 119-153. Harrison, Bennett, and Jean Kluver. “Deindustrialization and Regional Restructuring in Massachusetts.” In Deindustrialization and Regional Economic Transformation: The Experience of the United States. Edited by Lloyd Rodwin and Hidehiko Sasanami. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman, 1989, pp. 104-131. ISBN: 9780044455387. Porter, Michael E., Rebecca E. Wayland, and C. Jeffrey Grogan. “Toward A Shared Economic Vision for Massachusetts.” November 5, 1992. [In collaboration with Challenge to Leadership] Horan, Cynthia, and Andrew E. G. Jonas. “Governing Massachusetts: Uneven Development and Politics in Metropolitan Boston.” Economic Geography 74, extra issue (1998): 83-95.	Fogg, Neeta, Paul Harrington, and Thomas Kochan. “The State of Working Families in Massachusetts.” MIT Sloan Working Paper 4473-04, January 2004. Work-Family Council Initiative Working Paper No. 0001. Readings related to the client’s interests will be made available during the semester.
10	Green buildings	Kats, Greg, et al. “The Costs and Financial Benefits of Green Buildings: A Report to California’s Sustainable Building Task Force.” Washington, DC: Capital E, 2003. (PDF - 3.1MB) Green Communities Act, Massachusetts. Wier, Mette. “Sources of Changes in Emissions from Energy: a Structural Decomposition Analysis.” Economic Systems Research 10, no. 2 (1998): 99-112.
11	Green transportation Regional catalytic economic impacts of aviation growth Guest lecture: Ryan Tam, AICP, MIT PhD candidate.	“Governor Patrick Signs Bill Promoting Advanced Biofuels.” Press release, July 28, 2008. Munksgaard, Jesper, Mette Wier, Manfred Lenzen, and Christopher Dey. “Input-Output Analysis to Measure the Environmental Pressure of Consumption at Different Spatial Levels.” Journal of Industrial Ecology 9, nos. 1-2 (2005): 169-185. Forsell, O., and Karen R. Polenske. “Introduction: Input-Output and the Environment.” Economic Systems Research 10, no. 2 (1998): 91-97. Roca, Jordi, and Monica Serrano. “Income Growth and Atmospheric Pollution in Spain: An Input Output Approach.” Ecological Economics 63, no. 1 (2007): 230-242.
12	Formulating and applying dynamic economic models	Pereira, Alvaro E., and Karen R. Polenske. “Transportation Policy Implications of the 1990 Clean Air Act.” In Research in Urban Economics: New Urban Strategies in Advanced Regional Economics. Edited by R. D. Norton. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Inc., 1996, pp. 111-138. ISBN: 9781559388566. Treyz, George I. Regional Economic Modeling: A Systematic Approach to Economic Forecasting and Policy Analysis. New York, NY: Springer, 1993. ISBN: 9780792393825. Read chapters 10-11, pp. 431-450 and 453-456.
13	Use of regional models in policy analyses	Isard, Walter, and Christine Smith. “Policy Analysis Using an Integrated Multiregional Model.” In Practical Methods of Regional Science and Empirical Applications: Selected Papers of Walter Isard. London, England: Palgrave Macmillan, 1990. ISBN: 9780333513781. Funck, Rolf H. “Reflections on Regional Development Policy and the Concept of Region.” In New Frontiers in Regional Science: Essays in Honor of Walter Isard. Vol. 1. Edited by Manas Chatterji and Robert E. Kuenne. Washington Square, NY: New York University Press, 1990. ISBN: 9780814714379. Harrison, Bennett, Amy Glasmeier, and Karen R. Polenske. “National, Regional, and Local Economic Development: New Thinking About Old Ideas.” Economic Development Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, December 5, 1995. (This document will be on reserve at Rotch.)
14	Seminar for client: socioeconomic impact evaluation