Integrating Doctoral Seminar on Emerging Technologies

Readings

Lec #	TOPICS	READINGS
Phase One
1	Uncertainty The Engineer’s View On the Power and the Limits of Analysis	McManus, Hugh, and Daniel Hastings. “A Framework for Understanding Uncertainty and its Mitigation and Exploitation in Complex Systems.” (PDF) (Courtesy of Hugh McManus and Daniel Hastings. Used with permission.) Simon, Herbert. “Rationality and Administrative Behavior,” and “The Psychology of Administration.” Chapters 4, and 5 in Administrative Behavior. 4th ed. New York, NY: Free Press, 1997. ISBN: 9780684835822.
2	On Handling Messy Complexity	Hughes, Thomas P. Rescuing Prometheus. New York, NY: Knopf, 2000. ISBN: 9780679739388.
3	The Engineering Mindset Analysis of the Columbia Disaster	The Columbia Accident Investigation Board Report
4	Bureaucratic Politics Some Powerful Dumb Ideas about Politics and Policymaking	Allison, Graham, and Philip Zelikow. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. 2nd ed. Boston, MA: Addison-Wesley Longman Inc., 1999, especially chapters 5, 6, and 7. ISBN: 0321033256.
5	Technological Forecasting Methods for Forecasting; Predictions for the Future; How have they Actually Worked?	U.S. Office of Technology Assessment Reports “Ballistic Missile Defense Technologies.” September 1985. (PDF - 5.0 MB) “Computer-Based National Information Systems: Technology and Public Policy Issues.” September 1981. (PDF - 2.7 MB) “Nuclear Power in an Age of Uncertainty.” February 1984. (PDF - 9.0 MB) Cuhls, K., and T. Kuwahara. Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology: Comparing Japanese and German Technology Forecast Surveys. Heidelberg, Germany: Physica-Verlag, 1994. ISBN: 9783790808001.
Phase Two: Structured Case Presentations
6	GPS for Selected Applications
7	Packet Switching for Data Communication
8	The Minicomputer
9	Supersonic Transport (SST)
10	Seldane to Allegra
11	The National Airspace System
Phase Three
12	Ubiquitous Computing: Analysis and Review of Collected Material from the Last Year