IDS.333 | Fall 2021 | Graduate

IDS.333 Risk and Decision Analysis

Unit 7

Drivers of Flexibility

Flexibility is generally an essential part of good planning, design, and management. It’s good to be prepared for what may happen. 

How much one should do to prepare depends on the possible costs and consequences.

In this context, there are several forces that encourage and discourage flexibility – and we should understand them.

The major impetus for flexibility is uncertainty: the less we know about what will happen, the more we should have the capability, the flexibility to deal with the range of future events.

Economies of scale provide the principal economic argument against deferring investments in capacity: “If it’s cheaper per unit of capacity to build big, why mess around with smaller units?” is the standard argument.  However, that’s not the whole story.

Against the economies-of-scale argument is the “time value of money.” It decreases the true economic cost of future investments and counteracts the cost advantages associated with economies of scale.

“Learning” is another factor that diminishes the economies-of-scale argument. As we repeat modules, we learn how to construct or design them better, and thus further make a modular approach more beneficial.

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