WEEK # | TOPICS | KEY DATES |
---|---|---|
Part 1: Introduction to Probability | ||
1 | Events and their Probability, Elementary Operations with Events, Total Probability Theorem, Independence, Bayes’ Theorem | |
2-3 | Random Variables and Vectors, Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions | |
4 | Functions of Random Variables and Derived Distributions | |
5-6 |
Expectation of Random Variables and Functions of Random Variables
Moments of Variables and Vectors |
|
7 | Conditional Second Moment Analysis | |
8 | Selected Distribution Models: Normal, Lognormal, Extreme, Multivariate Normal Distributions | Quiz on part 1 (1.5 hours, in class, open books and notes) |
Part 2: Introduction to System Reliability | ||
9 | Time-invariant Second-Moment Reliability Analysis and Time-Invariant Full-Distribution Reliability Analysis | |
Part 3: Introduction to Statistics | ||
10 | Point Estimation of Distribution Parameters: Methods of Moments and Maximum Likelihood, Bayesian Analysis | |
11 | Simple and Multiple Linear Regression | Quiz on parts 2 and 3 (1.5 hours, in class, open books and notes) |
Calendar
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Spring
2005
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grading
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notes
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