Probabilistic Systems Analysis and Applied Probability

Lecture 2: Conditioning and Bayes' Rule

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Lecture Topics

Conditional probability Three important tools Multiplication rule Total probability theorem Bayes’ rule

Lecture Activities

• Watch the Lecture 2: Conditioning and Bayes’ Rule Video by Prof. Tsitsiklis (00:51:11)
• Review the Lecture 2: Conditioning and Bayes’ Rule Slides (PDF)
• Read Sections 1.3–1.4 in the textbook

Recitation Problems and Recitation Help Videos

Review the recitation problems in the PDF file below and try to solve them on your own. Three of the problems have an accompanying video where a teaching assistant solves the same problem.

• Recitation 2 Problems (PDF)
• Recitation 2 Solutions (PDF)

Recitation Help Videos

PROBLEM #	PROBLEM TITLE	PROBLEM SOLVED BY
1	A Coin Tossing Puzzle	Kuang Xu
2	Conditional Probability Example	Katie Szeto
4	The Monty Hall Problem	Jimmy Li

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